Goldman Sachs warns that the collapse in AI token prices threatens the profitability of massive investments in AI infrastructure. The Silicon Data LLM Token Expenditure Index dropped 29% in August 2026 to a record low of $0.97 per million tokens, more than 50% below its May 2026 peak of roughly $2.05. Hyperscalers including Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet face margin compression as return on invested capital has hit an all-time low. The rise of open-source models and rapid improvements in proprietary models are putting downward pressure on pricing, creating structural risks for tech giants committed to unprecedented capital expenditure programs in the technology sector.
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