According to Glassnode data, Bitcoin outperformed the S&P 500 in 50% of the past 90 Wall Street trading sessions, ending a prolonged period of underperformance. Its win rate had not exceeded 50% since March 2025, while its average per-session gains were slightly higher than those of the S&P 500. Capriole Investments reported that the S&P 500 gained an average of 10.7% during the three months following the seven US midterm elections since 1922 in which Democrats won both chambers under a Republican president. Average gains reached 17.5% after six months and 15.5% after one year. Bitcoin’s 20-day rolling correlation with the S&P 500 stood at 0.63 as crypto assets and stocks advanced together.
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