Republican groups injected more than $740 million into congressional races from Labor Day through October 14, including at least $220 million from Trump-linked groups and $276 million from Elon Musk. Despite this unprecedented financial effort, Democrats lead in nine of the ten most competitive Senate races according to FiftyPlusOne polling averages, barely changed from before the spending spree. The money has failed to move voter sentiment, forcing Republicans to shift from offense to defense to protect previously safe seats. The Senate Leadership Fund withdrew its advertising from North Carolina as Democrat Roy Cooper maintains a double-digit lead. The broader political environment continues to deteriorate for Republicans, with Democrats favored to flip the House.
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