A clash between two Ukrainian intelligence agencies erupted in Kyiv, leading to an exchange of gunfire, according to reports from the New York Times. The incident involved Ukraine’s domestic security service (SBU) and military intelligence agency (HUR), highlighting ongoing tensions within the country’s security apparatus. This internal conflict comes amid the broader Russia-Ukraine war, which began with Russia’s invasion in February 2022. Current market pricing puts the likelihood of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement by the end of 2026 at 18%.
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