US stocks are entering a historically weak period from mid-August through early October. According to Ned Davis Research (NDR), August through October represents the S&P 500’s weakest three-month span of the year. This weakness is based on NDR’s cycle composite, which combines the one-year seasonal cycle, the four-year presidential cycle, and the 10-year decennial cycle. However, unusually bearish investor sentiment could help limit any pullback.
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