Scott Colom, the Democratic candidate in the Mississippi Senate race, is now considered the favorite by the prediction-market platform Kalshi. The probability of a Democratic victory rose from 14% to 74.4% within 24 hours, reversing the previous expectation of a Republican lead. The shift follows a period of growing support for Colom and a narrowing gap in recent polling. Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith, who has held the Senate seat since 2018, now faces a more competitive challenge in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator in decades. No major event, such as an endorsement or a legal decision, has been cited to explain the change, which may reflect shifts in campaign dynamics or voter sentiment.
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