Hossein Taeb, head of Iran’s Basij organization, has warned Iranians against trusting a potential return to US-Iran negotiations, claiming that renewed diplomacy could serve as a deceptive tactic by Iran’s adversaries. This warning comes against a backdrop of stalled US-Iran relations, with no ongoing talks and a previous truce framework having expired. Prediction markets now price the likelihood of a diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026, at just 2.3%, down from 3% twenty-four hours ago. Longer-term markets still show moderate expectations, with odds for a meeting by December 31, 2026, holding at 48.5%. This development reflects growing skepticism about near-term diplomatic resumption.
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