House Democrats plan to pursue the impeachment of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth if they regain control of the chamber following the upcoming midterm elections. They previously filed articles of impeachment against Hegseth in April and could reintroduce them during the lame-duck session. Market pricing suggests the prospect of impeachment is weighing on Republican prospects and lowering the implied probability of retaining the House. Democratic strategy, polling shifts and developments involving key political figures could alter the market-implied odds for both parties.
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