The impeachment effort against U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is complicating Republican strategy ahead of the midterm elections. GOP leaders are wary of an impeachment vote, fearing its impact on their electoral standing. Market observers note that political instability linked to the impeachment may reduce the perceived likelihood of U.S. military escalation in Iran, with odds declining from 18% to 14.5% in one week. Key developments in the impeachment proceedings remain a critical factor to monitor for assessing future U.S. military decisions.
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