Residents of Guaribas, a town in Brazil’s Piauí state traditionally supportive of Lula with 93.86% of votes in the 2022 runoff, are beginning to reconsider their support for the president. This shift comes as Lula faces off against Bolsonaro in a closely watched presidential race at the national level. Polls indicate a tight race with Lula slightly ahead, which could impact Bolsonaro’s expected vote share in the first round of the 2026 election. Observers are monitoring changes in voter sentiment in traditional Lula strongholds as these could signal broader electoral trends.
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