According to Google’s former CEO, artificial intelligence automation could reduce large-company workforces by around 20%, primarily targeting coordination and middle-management roles. To illustrate his reasoning, he says a company with 10,000 employees could eliminate 2,000 positions, mainly those focused on planning and passing information between teams. He argues that invention, sales, leadership and government relations would remain essential, while urging companies to manage workforce transitions humanely and legally. On the Kalshi prediction market, traders assign a 94% probability that layoffs in the US information sector will increase in 2026 compared with 2025.
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