CoreWeave’s unsecured bonds fell into distressed territory in October 2026, trading below 80 cents on the dollar with yields reaching 15-16%. Credit default swap spreads hit record levels of 1,000 to 1,200 basis points, implying roughly a 60% probability of default within five years. The company carries approximately $50 billion in total debt, with $4.4 billion due before the end of 2026. Despite a contracted backlog of $104 billion as of Q2 2026, high-profile voices including Elon Musk and Chamath Palihapitiya have publicly questioned the valuation of AI-related private credit.
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