U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has ordered Pentagon personnel not to use non-public information, whether classified or not, to bet on Polymarket and Kalshi. The directive covers military and civilian employees who could use professional knowledge to obtain a financial advantage. It does not impose a general ban on accessing these prediction markets, but targets the use of operational information that could reveal movements, targets or the timing of military action and create conflicts of interest. U.S. service member Gannon Ken Van Dyke is accused of winning more than $400,000 through bets linked to the capture of Nicolás Maduro, while a reservist and a civilian were also prosecuted in Israel over alleged bets informed by classified information.
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