J.P. Morgan Asset Management included Bitcoin in its long-term return forecasts for the first time, according to its Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions 2027 report. The bank projects Bitcoin to deliver a 10% annual compound return over ten years, ahead of US large-cap equities at 7.5% and gold at 5.5%. Bitcoin carries an annualized volatility of 55%, compared to roughly 18% for US large-cap stocks and 17.2% for gold. Despite being included in return projections, Bitcoin does not appear in the report’s sample portfolio allocations, illustrating the gap between acknowledging an asset and formally recommending it.
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