An analysis from the Jerusalem Post suggests that Iran perceives Jordan and the UAE as unlikely to retaliate against Iranian strikes on US bases. This assessment comes amid heightened tensions in the Middle East and could influence ongoing negotiations regarding a potential US-Iran deal in 2026. Iran’s aggressive posture raises concerns about a decreased likelihood of an agreement including reconstruction funding. Market pricing reflects a downward trend for such a deal, with YES outcomes showing reduced percentages over the past week.
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