Dubai International Airport reported a significant 30% decrease in passenger traffic during the first half of 2026, attributed to the ongoing conflict in Iran. The war, which began with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, has caused widespread regional disruptions affecting civilian aviation and transit hubs. Although ceasefires have been attempted, the conflict remains unresolved, continuing to impact airspace operations in the Gulf region. The prediction market for Iran full airspace closure by December 31 currently reflects a YES probability of 18.5%.
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