Futures markets are experiencing a downturn, while oil and bond prices are rising, as prospects for peace with Iran appear to be fading. Escalating tensions in the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran are contributing to these shifts, with peace talks stalled and the Strait of Hormuz remaining a focal point for potential military action. Market behavior reflects an increased perception of geopolitical risk, with a notable decrease in expectations for a U.S.-Iran deal in 2026.
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