Three AI-powered chatbots (ChatGPT, Perplexity, Gemini) assessed the potential impact of a Republican loss in the US midterm elections on Bitcoin’s price. According to ChatGPT, BTC could see an immediate 5-10% drop, or up to 15% in a stress scenario, without necessarily marking the start of a new bear market. All three AIs agree on a short-term correction rather than a crash, unless accompanied by a major macroeconomic shock such as hawkish Federal Reserve policies or liquidity contraction. Historically, Bitcoin dropped 72%, 65%, 52%, and 27% after the 2010, 2014, 2018, and 2022 midterm elections respectively. The latest polls favor Democrats, with prediction market Kalshi assigning Republicans less than 30% chance of controlling Congress.
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