A UN fact-finding mission has reported ‘reasonable grounds’ to believe the United States committed war crimes during its ongoing conflict with Iran. The UN’s findings focus on reported attacks on civilian infrastructure, which would mark a significant escalation if confirmed. The U.S. government has firmly denied these allegations. A potential U.S.-Iran deal is currently under negotiation, with reconstruction funding as a key point of contention. Prediction markets currently price a 13.5% probability of Iran Reconstruction Funding being included in a 2026 deal, slightly down from 14% the previous day.
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