Ukraine’s Black Sea port blockade threatens next year’s planting season

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Russia’s intensified attacks on Ukrainian Black Sea port infrastructure have slashed grain exports by 75% in August compared to the same period last year. Approximately 60 million metric tons of grain are trapped in silos, while Ukraine faces an 11-million-ton storage shortfall. Without revenue from current harvest sales, farmers cannot finance the winter wheat planting campaign essential for the 2027 harvest, with projected logistics-related losses standing at $3 billion. Regions in Africa and the Middle East that heavily depend on Ukrainian grain imports risk facing tighter supplies and higher food prices worldwide.

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