Prediction markets now assign Bitcoin just a 2% chance of reaching $200,000 by January 2027, a record low for these contracts. On Kalshi, the contract for Bitcoin trading above $200,000 was priced at 2% as of October 2026. Bitcoin was trading near $82,000 to $84,000, requiring the price to more than double to hit that target. Contracts for $90,000 carry a 63% implied probability, while the $100,000 contract sits at 28% odds. Total volume across Polymarket contracts exceeds $74 million.
Source: Read the original article
Disclaimer: this content is for information purposes only and is not financial advice. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile: you may lose all of your capital. Always do your own research. Legal notice
