Prediction markets slightly favor Jensen Huang remaining at the helm of Nvidia despite revelations about his relationship with an executive suspected of being a Chinese spy. On Kalshi, the probability of his departure before January 2029 stands at 54%, compared with 52% before January 2028 and 33% before July 2027. Polymarket puts the probability of an announcement of his resignation or removal at 16% by the end of the year, rising to 22% by the end of March 2027. Contracts on a congressional testimony place its probability at 46% by next January and 79% by next July, while the odds of a divorce before March 2027 stand at 23%. Following the launch of an investigation, Nvidia shares have fallen nearly 10% since Monday morning.
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