Mohammadreza Mohseni-Sani, a member of Iran’s parliament National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, announced on social media that Iran no longer considers itself bound by the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. This statement suggests a potential shift in the country’s uranium enrichment policy, against a backdrop of ongoing tensions with the United States and the International Atomic Energy Agency over nuclear compliance issues. Prediction markets are already reflecting decreased chances of a US-Iran deal including reconstruction funding in 2026. Current pricing indicates low confidence in an agreement that includes uranium enrichment caps or moratoriums.
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