The Axios report indicates that ongoing legal battles over congressional maps could result in the adoption of new maps for the 2026 midterm elections. Prediction markets assign a 96% probability to California adopting new maps, compared to only 4% for Maryland. Senate President Bill Ferguson and Governor Wes Moore are key actors to watch in Maryland’s redistricting process. Court rulings and legislative actions in the coming months will play a determining role in shaping the electoral landscape, particularly in states where current odds for new maps remain low, such as Maryland and Virginia.
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