Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has accused Ukrainian troops of engaging in terrorist activities against Sahel states. He also alleged that France is supporting armed groups in the region. These accusations come amid heightened tensions between Russia and Ukraine, with the market for a ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026 currently standing at 26.5%, down from 34% a week ago. Sub-markets for earlier resolutions, such as October and August 2026, also show decreased probabilities, indicating the market’s cautious attitude toward the recent ceasefire agreement.
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