Traders on the CFTC-regulated prediction platform Kalshi are assigning a 56% probability that September nonfarm payrolls exceeded 90,000 jobs, with the “Above 90,000” contract currently priced at 60 cents and trading volume reaching approximately $119,000. Consensus economist forecasts range from 84,000 to 95,000 job additions, positioning the 90,000 threshold near an even split rather than a decisive directional bet. The official BLS nonfarm payrolls report is scheduled for release on October 2 at 8:30 a.m. ET. August nonfarm payrolls came in at 162,000, a solid figure following a notably weak July.
Source: Read the original article

