The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to announce a 25-basis-point interest rate hike at its September 15–16, 2026 meeting, marking the first increase since July 2023. This potential hike would raise the target range from 3.50%-3.75% to 3.75%-4.00%. Market participants price the likelihood of this rate increase at 88.5% for the September meeting. Observers will closely watch the FOMC announcement and the press conference by Chair Jerome Powell, particularly regarding language on further tightening and the assessment of inflation and labor market conditions.
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