Republican Representative Thomas Massie of Kentucky has introduced articles of impeachment against U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth. The charges include waging war against Iran without congressional approval and other alleged abuses of power. A House vote is expected within two days, following an earlier attempt that stalled during a congressional recess. Prediction markets now assign an 81.2% probability to Hegseth being impeached by December 31, 2026, up from 76% twenty-four hours earlier. The likelihood of his removal by November 30 has nevertheless fallen to 18.5%, while developments in the Iran conflict and responses from political leaders remain decisive.
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