On Kalshi, the odds of Anthropic announcing an IPO before December fell to 57% from nearly 90% a week earlier. The probability of an announcement before January also dropped to 68% from more than 88% over the past week. Anthropic confidentially filed its IPO prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission in June. The repricing followed Democrats’ wins in the midterm elections and a sell-off in AI-related stocks, driven by concerns that slower data center construction could reduce the appeal of AI investments. The Nasdaq fell more than 10% from its most recent high, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones lost 4.4% and 3.4%, respectively, on Thursday.
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