In mid-to-late October 2026, Bitcoin was trading between $82,000 and $83,000, while its seven-day realized volatility approached multi-year lows. According to K33 Research, the lull was mainly driven by weak trading volumes ahead of two major events: the October 28 FOMC meeting and the October 30 options expiry, worth roughly $12 billion. The Deribit DVOL index stood around 37, and the Bollinger Bands spanned approximately 6.5% of the price, indicating an exceptionally subdued market. Institutional participation through US spot ETFs and corporate treasury holdings has contributed to a structural decline in volatility, although comparable conditions have previously preceded 30% price swings within months.
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