Alberta is holding a nonbinding referendum on whether to remain in Canada or pursue independence. Polling and market pricing indicate a comfortable victory for the “Remain” option, with an increased likelihood of a win by a 40 to 60 percent margin. Premier Danielle Smith has publicly supported “Remain,” while acknowledging the need to act if separatists achieve a majority. Despite the likely victory for staying in Canada, the discussion around secession is expected to continue beyond the vote.
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