Donald Trump promised a $5,000 dividend for every adult American if Republicans sweep the midterms, but the definition of beneficiaries keeps shifting: some messages included all American citizens, representing roughly 73 million more people. The cost would range from $1.3 trillion to $1.7 trillion depending on eligibility criteria. According to an Economist and YouGov poll from September, only 21% of registered voters think Trump would actually deliver on this promise, while 57% say he probably or definitely would not. This skepticism is reinforced by previous failed proposals, including the $5,000 DOGE dividend and the tariff-funded dividend of at least $2,000 per person, neither of which were ever distributed.
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