Traders on the CFTC-regulated prediction platform Kalshi anticipate a rise in U.S. consumer prices for September, with a 90% probability assigned to a monthly increase above 0.4%. The odds of a 0.5% or higher rise stand at 60%, while a 0.6% or higher increase is priced at only about 17 to 20%, with traders clustered in the 0.4%-0.5% range. Economists at Continuum Economics forecast a 0.6% monthly gain, which would push the annual rate from 3.4% in August to approximately 3.7%. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the final September CPI data on October 14, 2026, the date when Kalshi’s futures contracts will be settled. A print above trader expectations could influence discussions on the interest rate path and keep inflation well above policymakers’ targets.
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