The Parti Québécois (PQ) proposes cutting permanent immigration to around 35,000 annually, while the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) suggests a cap at 45,000. This contentious debate on Quebec’s capacity to integrate new immigrants, particularly regarding housing, schooling, and French-language services, has emerged as a central theme in the provincial election campaign. Prediction markets reflect growing voter resonance for the PQ’s stance, decreasing Bernard Drainville’s chances of becoming the next premier while improving Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s prospects. The coming months leading to the October 2026 election will be critical in observing how this debate continues to shape voter preferences and market odds.
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