President Trump claimed that oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz have reached 18 million barrels per day, a figure close to pre-war levels for this critical passage. However, independent tracking firms like Kpler report verified peaks of only 10 to 11.9 million barrels per day in June, with current estimates ranging between 2 and 8 million barrels per day. Before the US-Iran conflict began on February 28, this strait, which handles approximately 20% of global oil supply, typically processed 18 to 20 million barrels per day. The gap between administration claims and verified data raises questions about transparency in wartime oil transit reporting, as vessels have frequently turned off their tracking systems to avoid detection. If actual volumes are indeed closer to 2 to 8 million barrels per day, global oil supply is significantly constrained compared to pre-war levels.
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