President Trump has announced an expansion of sanctions against Iran, targeting the technology, aviation, and digital assets sectors to further pressure the country’s economy. These measures are part of a broader U.S. strategy to curb Iran’s oil sales and missile program while extending secondary sanctions to international partners. Observers note that this hardening stance could hinder prospects for a diplomatic nuclear agreement. According to prediction markets, the probability of Iran developing a nuclear weapon before 2027 stands at 5.1 %, while the likelihood of a final U.S.-Iran nuclear deal before August 31, 2026, is only 0.5 %.
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