Iran is reportedly not engaging in direct communication with Donald Trump, with Russia and China playing roles to prevent such interactions. This situation occurs amid ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran. Prediction markets reflect only a 0.1% probability of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting taking place in the UAE before September 30, 2026, indicating a decrease in expectations for a diplomatic breakthrough. The influence of Russia and China on Iran’s diplomatic strategy suggests a continuation of indirect negotiations rather than direct dialogue.
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