Incumbent Cori Bush is facing off against Wesley Bell in the Democratic primary for Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, a year after losing her seat to him in 2024. Prediction market data currently shows Bell with a 67.5% chance of winning, compared to 33% for Bush, representing a slight resurgence for the challenger. The race is taking place in a solidly Democratic district where both campaigns have received significant support from outside groups. Analysts note that the outcome remains uncertain, with late developments such as endorsements or voter mobilization shifts potentially still influencing the final result. If Bell prevails, he would secure the Democratic nomination for the general election.
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