The US State Department has ordered nonessential government employees and their families to leave Saudi Arabia. The decision comes amid heightened security concerns following missile and drone attacks by Iran-backed Houthi forces against Saudi targets. It does not, however, indicate a full evacuation of the embassy in Riyadh. Prediction markets assign a 23.5% probability to Houthi forces entering Aden by December 31, 2026, while the likelihood of a Saudi-Houthi ceasefire by October 31 is estimated at just 2.1%.
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