The US Navy is preparing for extended carrier deployments in the Middle East in response to the conflict with Iran, according to the Chief of Naval Operations and the Master Chief Petty Officer of the Navy. This strategic decision follows sustained military operations since the US-Iran war erupted earlier this year. Prediction markets show a declining probability of a full Iranian airspace closure: 1.8% by August 31, down from 6% a week ago, and 17.5% by December 31, down from 28% 24 hours ago. This downward trend suggests that market participants interpret the extended deployments as a sign of ongoing conflict rather than diplomatic resolution.
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