US lawmakers are expected to move next week to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth over his role in the Iran war and the resulting Republican losses in Congress. Representative Thomas Massie is set to introduce articles of impeachment as Democrats took control of both chambers following the midterms. The effort has increased political pressure on Hegseth despite President Donald Trump’s continued support for him. Prediction markets raised the implied probability of impeachment to 23% for December 31, 2026, 46.5% for March 31, 2027, and 52.5% for June 30, 2027.
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