Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries, including the Omsk facility in July 2026, reduced Russia’s refining capacity and prompted Moscow to restrict fuel exports to prioritize domestic needs. Kyrgyzstan, which imports over 90% of its petroleum products from Russia, and Tajikistan, with approximately 84% dependency, now face an energy crisis with no backup plan. Kyrgyzstan banned fuel exports on July 14, 2026 and spent approximately $11.4 million in subsidies, while AI-92 petrol prices rose 12% in three months, from 78.4 soms to 87.9 soms per liter. Tajikistan tripled imports from Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Kazakhstan, but approaching winter and heating fuel demand are adding pressure on already constrained supplies.
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