U.S. voters are expressing deep frustration as Election Day approaches, particularly in traditionally conservative areas that have become battlegrounds. Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 32%, near record lows. The 2026 midterms will feature all 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats and 36 governorships, with Republicans currently holding 53–47 in the Senate and 219–214 in the House. Market activity suggests a challenging environment for Republicans and a higher likelihood of seat losses, especially in closely contested states such as Georgia, Michigan and Texas. Shifts in polling, voter turnout and Trump’s approval rating could further alter expectations about the final seat counts.
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