The Strait of Hormuz, which saw 20 million barrels of oil pass through daily before the conflict, is not actually closed despite Iran’s claims. U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said approximately 15 million barrels were shipped in a single day through a corridor along Oman’s coast, with a seven-day average of 8 million barrels. Vortexa chief economist David Wech confirms a monthly average of 6 to 7 million barrels per day, with a peak of 14 million. This oil leakage is prolonging the stalemate and could push the end of the conflict « deep into 2027, » according to geopolitical strategist Dan Alamariu, who warns of escalation before U.S. midterm elections, when Iran could try to drive up oil prices to weaken Trump.
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