A Russian drone strike targeted a train station in Lutsk, Ukraine, just 2 kilometers from the Polish border, a NATO member. Shahed drones hit railway facilities, including a passenger train, with no casualties due to the rapid evacuation of passengers and staff. This incident is part of an escalation of Russian strikes against Ukrainian transport infrastructure, aiming to disrupt logistics and civilian mobility. Markets reflect a decrease in the probability of Ukraine’s recapture of Crimea, with current odds estimated at 5.5%.
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