A poll conducted by the Glengariff Group in the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race shows former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers leading Abdul El-Sayed with 49% to 39%. However, Rogers trails Haley Stevens narrowly with 45% to 46%. The poll results are within the margin of error, but they suggest Stevens maintains an edge over El-Sayed in the Democratic primary. Confidence in El-Sayed’s chances has declined in Macomb and Oakland Counties, and prediction markets reflect a decrease in his expected victory margin.
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