Ukrainian officials reported that a speed limit of 100 mph imposed without warning on Starlink-connected terminals disrupted drone operations and other military missions, including frontline logistics and long-distance missions. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy called the restriction a “big mistake” that “will bring a lot of human losses.” Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX, stated that the US government controls Starshield systems and that the military sets usage limits, a claim neither the White House nor the Pentagon has confirmed. On Polymarket, ceasefire odds by end of October plummeted from 26% to just 2% within 24 hours, although the direct link to the Starlink restriction has not been established. Several Polymarket contracts remain open with different deadlines, including a ceasefire contract by end of 2027 showing a 68.5% probability.
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