Several U.S. states, including Texas and Louisiana, are modifying their congressional maps to reinforce Republican-favored districts or dismantle majority-Black districts ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Predictive markets assign a 98% probability to California using a new map and 94% for Louisiana, compared to only 2% in Virginia and South Carolina. Several new maps are under legal challenge, notably by the NAACP and the Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights, and their outcome could influence the balance of power in the House of Representatives.
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