Latino voters in South Texas are moving away from Republicans and toward Democratic candidates, primarily due to frustration with rising costs and Donald Trump’s immigration policies. This shift could have significant implications for upcoming elections, particularly the 2026 Texas Senate race. Prediction markets now reflect a 62.5% probability of a Democratic victory, up from 56% a week ago. Texas Republicans had anticipated that Latino support for Trump would remain steady across several majority-Latino districts, but this assumption appears to be challenged by the current trend in voter preferences.
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