Iranian leaders are concerned about economic hardship and domestic unrest that could result from increased US pressure, amid a fragile ceasefire between the United States, Iran and Israel. US actions have targeted both Iranian military capabilities and economic stability. Prediction markets currently price the likelihood of a US-Iran deal including reconstruction funding at 25 percent. Key figures to watch include Donald Trump and Javad Zarif, along with any developments regarding the Strait of Hormuz and uranium enrichment.
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